We have expert horse racing tips for the New Zealand Derby at Ellerslie on Saturday, which is one of the biggest races on the NZ racing calendar.
It takes place on Race 9 at 3:07pm, and we have a runner-by-runner betting guide available for New Zealand Derby.
The race features the likes of Willydoit and Thedoctoroflove, and the best Australian betting sites have value odds available!
Our best bets for New Zealand Derby
Best Bet:
#4 Willydoit @ $3.40
Best Each Way:
#1 Thedoctoroflove @ $5.50
Best Roughie:
#6 Hakkinen @ $26.00
New Zealand Derby Tips for Trifecta
Punters should have five runners on their ticket for New Zealand Derby trifecta. We recommend taking a boxed percentage trifecta. Spend what you want, and the payouts can be massive.
- Willydoit
- Thedoctoroflove
- Hakkinen
- Tuxedo
- Oceana Dream

New Zealand Derby First-Four Tips
We have included seven runners for our New Zealand Derby first-four. Boxing all seven selections for a percentage can still result in a huge payout, and you spend what you want.
- Willydoit
- Thedoctoroflove
- Hakkinen
- Tuxedo
- Oceana Dream
- Bourbon Proof
- Ridefromtheashes

New Zealand Derby Form Guide & Tips
(1) Thedoctoroflove (Best Each Way – $5.50)
The Australian won at Flemington three starts back before crossing the Tasman and winning at Ellerslie, which is a good form guide.
He’s bred to win a Derby and we expect him to be right around the mark at each-way odds.
(2) Tuxedo ($5.50)
It’s time to suit up as we believe Tuxedo will be figuring in the finish. His form is excellent, including a top win last time out.
It’s an even betting field with the first five favourites, and we’re not leaving him out as the current odds.
(3) Bourbon Proof ($14.00)
The three-year-old colt by Justify ran second behind Thedoctoroflove last start, so we’re happy to include him in our first four picks.
His best form is good enough to beat the favourites, and we’re surprised by the double-figure odds available.
(4) Willydoit (Best Bet – $3.40)
Forget Willydoit went around in the Avondale Guineas. The extremely slow pace of the race gave him no chance of winning, but his form prior was great.
He’s the worthy favourite and we expect him to get back to his best at Ellerslie on Saturday.
(5) Oceana Dream ($5.00)
Co-trainer Roger James knows how to train Derby winners, and Oceana Dream is a worthy contender.
He won at Tauranga and Ellerslie before placing last time out, which should be a good enough form guide for the New Zealand Derby.
We’re not leaving him out of our NZ Derby picks.
(6) Hakkinen (Best Roughie – $26.00)
Te Akau lines up Hakkinen, who is bred to be better than average, and he runs at value odds.
Having Blake Shinn riding adds to his chances of winning and he ran under a length behind the winner in the main lead-up race. It’s good enough form to consider.
(7) Kiwi Skyhawk ($41.00)
His form this campaign isn’t good enough to consider for this race, hence the big odds.
(8) Mustang Morgan ($41.00)
We liked his win three back but his two subsequent starts include a fourth and ninth at Ellerslie.
It’s tough to include him based on those runs.
(9) Amazing Fluke ($31.00)
He has only one win from six starts, and he’s another runner that would need to improve significantly to win the Derby.
(10) Ayteem ($41.00)
Running second at Waverley isn’t typically the best form for an NZ Derby, so we would be surprised if he played any part in the race.
(11) Golden Century ($23.00)
Yet to win from six starts, Golden Century doesn’t have much of a hope. He has been specked at odds, but it would be a solid form reversal.
(12) Ridefromtheashes ($31.00)
He finished 1.9 lengths behind Thedoctoroflove last start, which wasn’t a bad run. He could sneak into the minors at big odds, but that’s a best-case scenario.
(13) Casemiro ($61.00)
His form isn’t good enough to figure in the finish. He’s looking for something much easier.
(14) Don Pedro ($31.00)
A last-start winner, Don Pedro is going from maiden grades to Group 1. It’s too big of a leap.
(15) Grey Area ($41.00)
He bookended a win with two poor efforts, so we’re not including him.
(16) Interplanetary ($41.00)
He needs to improve on recent form to finish in the first half of the field.
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