We have expert betting tips for The American Express this week, which is the first big tournament on the 2026 PGA Tour schedule.
Scottie Scheffler returns to competitive golf as the $4 favourite, and it will take a big performance from someone to beat him at PGA West in La Quinta.
The American Express Tips & Predictions
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Best Bet
There is value with the $4 odds for Scheffler. We expect sub $3, so he’s our top pick to win The American Express, and it’s not hard to work out why.
He’s the best player in the game, and although he hasn’t played for a while, he doesn’t often need a tournament to shake off the rust.
It’s not the strongest field he’ll face this year, with many PGA Tour players playing in Dubai, so he could take advantage and start 2026 with a win. It could set up another mammoth year for the American, so snap up the $4 odds before the money comes.
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Next Best
2026 is shaping up to be an important year for Ludvig Aberg, who underperformed slightly last year following a win at the Genesis Invitational in February.
The Swede battled through injury, which isn’t easy, but we have him bouncing back with a big year, and it could start with a win at The American Express.
Aberg showed his ability when pushing Scheffler close at the Masters in 2024 and being a two-time PGA Tour winner puts him ahead of many golfers in this field. He shows his best golf early in the year, so take the $23.
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Best Value Bet
Harry Hall is often overlooked in golf betting markets, but after playing well last week at the Sony Open, there has been solid support for him at $34.
The big-hitting Brit finished T6 behind Chris Gotterup, and he should feel encouraged by that performance, especially during the final round.
We see Hall scoring a win on the PGA Tour this year, and he’s a golfer we’ll happily bet on every week until it happens.
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Best Roughie
We can’t turn down the value odds for Justin Rose, who is another British golfer eyeing a win at The American Express.
Rose showed up in the big tournaments last year, finishing second at the Masters and T16 at The Open Championship. He knows how to play well in the big tournaments, and he should want to start the year strongly.
He won the Fed Ex St. Jude Championship last year, and punters always get juicy odds, so the $61 is far too generous from bookmakers.
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Top 10
Ben Griffin has proven to be one of the more reliable golfers on the PGA Tour, which earned him a spot on the US Ryder Cup team.
We see no signs of slowing down, and although he can be a polarising figure at times on the course, his record speaks for itself.
There is good value with the $3 odds for a top 10 finish, as he’s rarely too far away from the top of the leaderboard.
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