F1 Italian Grand Prix Expert Tips & Predictions

Venue: Autodromo Nazionale Monza
Race Date: 7^th September 2025

Drama at the Dutch Grand Prix last weekend has left Oscar Piastri with a healthy lead in the 2025 F1 driver’s standings at a key point in the campaign. Engine failure for Lando Norris meant that Piastri was able to cruise to yet another race win on the Dutch coast and all eyes turn to the battle between the two McLaren’s again here in Monza.

Few backdrops in the world of Formula 1 are as iconic as Monza, a track synonymous with the driving aristocracy of Italy, yet it feels unlikely that Ferrari will be able to mount a serious challenge in this one.

The pressure is ramped up on every driver at this stage of the season and this should be another fascinating weekend of action in Lombardy.

We have our best F1 predictions for the Italian Grand Prix and you can place your bets with Australia’s best betting sites!

F1 Italian Grand Prix Race Winner

Every driver on the grid will be chasing a strong weekend here in Monza, one of the best stops on the Formula 1 calendar:

Oscar Piastri @ $2.20

There is often a moment in any F1 title race that proves to be pivotal and the sight of Oscar Piastri winning in the Netherlands and Lando Norris forlorn on track side could well be the lasting image of the 2025 season. Piastri will be the man to beat here in Monza, and he knows that anywhere near his best level should put him in contention from the off.

Lando Norris @ $2.80

While the gap to Piastri has widened since the Dutch Grand Prix last week, ostensibly the challenge remains the same for Lando Norris. He will be looking to bounce back in this one, with Monza potentially a track that suits his driving style and if he can get ahead of Piastri this weekend, the title race will certainly rumble on.

Max Verstappen @ $9.00

There was a familiarity to Max Verstappen’s performance on home soil last weekend, as he roared back to finish in second place behind Oscar Piastri. His hopes of winning a 5^th consecutive F1 title may well have flown this season but he is in the groove once again for Red Bull and that could be an ominous sign ahead of next year.

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F1 Italian Grand Prix Top Six Finish

This should be another fantastic weekend of action at Monza and there is plenty at stake for all the biggest names on the grid at the Italian Grand Prix: –

George Russell @ $1.25

Following another decent showing at the Dutch Grand Prix, George Russell and Mercedes certainly feel as if they will end the season as the ‘best of the rest’. Monza is a track that he has driven well at previously and he should be in the mix for at least a top 6 place.

Charles Leclerc @ $1.40

Expectations will be sky high for Charles Leclerc this weekend, with Ferrari hoping to finally deliver a decent return at Monza. Fans will be out en masse to support both Leclerc and team mate Lewis Hamilton and while winning the race feels beyond them, a top 6 spot should be in reach for Leclerc.

Alex Albon @ $4.00

Improvements made by Willams this season have been notable, and Alex Albon has been a key beneficiary from that. The former Red Bull driver has found speed where others haven’t this term and he looks well set for a strong ride at Monza and he has the ability to crack the top half dozen this weekend.

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F1 Italian Grand Prix Best Bets

Race Winner:

Oscar Piastri @ $2.20

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Top Six Finish:

Alex Albon @ $4.00

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Sports Writer

Sam Hayes

Combining his sports coaching career with freelance journalism, Sam is a sports betting writer for various online publications.

He is looking to develop both his respective coaching and writing careers, whilst incorporating his other huge passion - travelling the world.

Sam currently lives and works in Milan, Italy and playing/following/writing about cricket, football (soccer), tennis, formula 1 and golf continue to take up much of his spare time.