Richmond vs. Adelaide Predictions

We have Richmond vs. Adelaide predictions for action on Sunday June 29 at 3:20pm at the MCG.

Adelaide are the short favourites to hand Richmond another loss in what could be a one-sided game in Round 16.

Richmond vs. Adelaide Predictions

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Best Bet

Adelaide –37.5 @ $1.90

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Adelaide has lost the last two games against Richmond, but these teams have gone in different directions in 2025. The Crows are fourth on the AFL ladder and Richmond sits in 17^th, so it should be easy spread cover for Adelaide.

It comes off a 47-44 loss to Hawthorn, but it lost no admirers with that effort. The Crows won their previous three games when taking down Brisbane, Sydney, and West Coast, and the win over Brisbane is a good form guide.

Covering a –37.5 line shouldn’t be too hard for a team that defeated West Coast by 66 points and Sydney by 90 points. No number is too big for this team, so back them to score a convincing road win on Sunday.

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Same Game Multi

Adelaide –37.5, Ben Keays 2+ Goals, Riley Thilthorpe 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 174.5 @ $4.50

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Ben Keays has been in good goal scoring for Adelaide while its main goal scorers have struggled. He has eight goals from his last three games, so we’re snapping up the $1.68 odds to him to score 2+ goals on Sunday.

Riley Thilthorpe is one of the struggling Adelaide scorers, posting just five goals from his last five games. He had none against Hawthorn, but it was a low-scoring game, so we expect him to bounce back against a poor Richmond defence.

We have taken Thilthorpe 2+ goals at $1.41, but there is also value in 3+ goals at $2.35, which would boost payouts.

With Adelaide likely to go close 110-120 points, we’re including over 174.5 points. It should be a goal fest for the road team, and all Richmond needs to do is score around 50-60 points to cash the over.

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Best Value Bet

Jordan Dawson 2+ Goals @ $4.30

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Jordan Dawson didn’t score last week, but he had five goals from his previous four games, so punters get value odds for Dawson to score at least two goals.

He should be ample opportunity, and it’s just a case of making the most of his chances in front of goal from set kicks.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.