Melbourne vs. Hawthorn Predictions

We have Melbourne vs. Hawthorn predictions and tips for the AFL Round 9 game on Saturday May 10 at 1:20pm.

Most of the money with AFL odds is with Hawthorn, which continued its winning run against the Richmond Tigers last week.

Melbourne vs. Hawthorn Predictions

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Best Bet

Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.08

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We’re prepared to give Melbourne credit for its three consecutive wins. The Demons started the year slowly, but wins over Fremantle, Richmond, and West Coast have put them back into contention.

However, we can’t see them beating Hawthorn, but it should be a close contest. The Hawks got back to winning form with comfortable wins over West Coast and Richmond, but they were expected to pile on the points against two of the worst teams in the competition.

Boasting a 6-2 record, Hawthorn should be too good for Melbourne, but we expect it to win by around 28-30 points. The $2.08 is a fair price from bookmakers in a game that should be close throughout before Hawthorn pulls away late.

Same Game Multi

Hawthorn 1-39, Nick Watson 2+ Goals, Bayley Fritsch 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 170.5 @ $13.50

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We’re including Nick Watson and Bayley Fritsch in our AFL same game multi. Watson scored three goals last week against Richmond, and he should fancy his chances of scoring a double against Melbourne’s defence.

Watson has six goals from his last three games, so he’s averaging two goals per game recently, and punters get a healthy $1.77 for this option. We also like Fritsch to score twice, having kicked two goals in each of his last three games.

He has come alive for Melbourne, and they needed him to. We expect his form to continue against Hawthorn, and the $1.87 odds are well worth including in AFL picks.

Under 170.5 is a good option, considering they combined for 121 points last year. They have recent totals of 121, 147, and 152, so the current line is generous. We would have been happy to take around 160.5 points, and we expect the line to move throughout the week.

Best Value Bet

Trent Rivers 25+ Disposals @ $2.45

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Punters don’t get massive odds for Trent Rivers 25+ disposals, but he’s a good value pick. Rivers had 25 disposals last week, and he was flourished in Melbourne’s recent wins.

He has amassed totals of 26, 28, and 25, and it’s because Melbourne is playing much better. His form should continue Saturday, so the odds are worth snapping up.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.