Hawthorn vs. Melbourne Predictions

We have Hawthorn vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL action on Saturday August 16 at 4:15pm at the MCG.

Hawthorn is one of the best-backed teams in Round 23, and it should be far too good for the struggling Demons.

Hawthorn vs. Melbourne Predictions

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Best Bet

Hawthorn –22.5 @ $1.90

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Punters get a generous line with AFL odds for Hawthorn, who won 110-46 against Geelong last week. Facing Melbourne is a much easier task, so we thought the line would have been around –35.5 for Saturday’s game.

The Hawks are only seventh on the ladder, so they need to perform well to stay in the top eight. It’s a big game for them at the MCG, but they’re too good to not back. They have outstanding wins on the board, and although Melbourne eyes an upset, they might have spent all their pennies against the Bulldogs last week.

We expect Hawthorn to score a comfortable win, so take the –22.5 line.

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Same Game Multi

Hawthorn -22.5, Jack Gunston 3+ Goals, Mabior Chol 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 164.5 @ $13.75

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Jack Gunston has been electric for the Hawks recently, scoring 14 goals from his last four games. He kicked four goals last week, and he should get ample opportunity to kick goals against Melbourne on Saturday.

Punters get $2.25 for Gunston to kick 3+ goals, which is good shopping, and $1.90 for Mabior Chol to kick 2+ goals. He is standing up for the Hawks when they need him, kicking three goals against Collingwood last week.

A repeat of that performance should see punters cash with Chol, in what should be a low-scoring game. Melbourne could struggle to score, so include under 164.5 points in your AFL SGM picks.

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Best Value Bet

Jack Gunston First Goal Scorer @ $8.25

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Our money is with Gunston to kick the first goal of the game. He often gets off to a good start for the Hawks, and he’s their leading scorer.

With four goals in each of his last two games, Gunston is hungry, and the $8.25 odds are worth including in AFL predictions as a value bet.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.