We have Fremantle vs. St Kilda predictions for action on Sunday June 29 at 5:10pm at Optus Stadium.
Most of the early money with AFL odds has come for Fremantle to cover the –22.5 spread at home in Round 16.
Fremantle vs. St Kilda Predictions
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Best Bet
Fremantle should win the game, but it might not be a convincing win. We’re backing Fremantle 1-39 at $2.05, which is a fair price for the favourites.
They lost 94-33 to St Kilda earlier this year, so that performance needs to be turned around. However, the Dockers are playing much better footy now after posting five consecutive wins over the likes of Essendon, North Melbourne, and Gold Coast.
With only one win from their last five games, the Saints are struggling, but they’re good enough to keep the game close. The current line is –22.5, but we’re not comfortable in taking that line, so there is more safety with the 1-39 margin.
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Same Game Multi
Shai Bolton and Josh Treacy should be licking their lips at the prospect of playing St Kilda for a second time this year. They didn’t perform well in this first meeting, but they have hit top gear over the last month.
Treacy scored three goals last week and Bolton had two, which came against a solid Essendon team. That form should hold up well against a Saints team that has given up 100+ points in their last two games.
Treacy pays short odds to score 2+ goals, but punters get $1.82 for Bolton to score a double, and those odds are worth including in AFL same game multis.
Over 165.5 goes into our picks and it’s mostly based on Fremantle’s scoring ability. The Dockers scored 104 points last week, and with St Kilda giving up big scores, it should be a high-scoring contest.
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Best Value Bet
Caleb Serong scored a double against Essendon last week, making it three goals from his last two games.
That’s good enough form for us to include him as a value pick at $2.75. We would have been prepared to back him at around $2, so the extra value makes him our top value bet.
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