Carlton vs. Geelong Predictions

One of the biggest AFL games in Round 7 is Carlton vs Geelong on Sunday April 27 at 3:20pm, where they look to keep their winning streaks alive.

Carlton vs. Geelong odds have Geelong at $1.52, but the best value could be with the underdogs.

Carlton vs. Geelong Predictions

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Best Bet

Carlton +11.5 @ $1.90

Most of the money has come for Geelong, but Carlton has had a taste of winning footy, and it could continue Sunday.

The Blues defeated two easy teams in the West Coast Eagles and North Melbourne Kangaroos, but both wins came by big margins. Scoring 153 points against North Melbourne bodes well, and although they’ll be met with more resistance against Geelong, they could keep it close.

Geelong comes off three consecutive wins over Melbourne, Adelaide, and Hawthorn, with the latter two being quality wins. However, Carlton won 138-75 last year, and it’s usually a close game between them. Therefore, the +11.5 line for Carlton is worth taking. It’s good enough to make a game of it, in what could be a season-defining game.

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Same Game Multi

Carlton +11.5, Charlie Curnow 2+ Goals, Patrick Dangerfield 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Over 169.5 @ $6.25

In their two 2024 meetings, Carlton and Geelong scored totals of 213 and 223 points, so we’re backing over 169.5 points in our same game multis.

It’s a good line, and although bookmakers expect defence to play its part, we predict the teams to come out firing offensively, and it could be the most exciting game of the week. Therefore, include over 169.5 points and Carlton +11.5 in multis.

Charlie Curnow not only has a great name, but he’s in fine kicking form. He kicked four last week, taking his tally to 10 goals from his last four games. He’s a tough player to stop when he’s hot, and he could make life tough for Geelong.

On the other side, Patrick Dangerfield could make life difficult for Carlton. The Cats’ leader has 12 goals from his last four games, including a four-bagger against Adelaide and three last week against the Hawks. Curnow is $1.44 to score 2+ and Dangerfield is $1.50, so they boost multi odds.

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Best Value Bet

Charlie Curnow First Goal Scorer @ $9.50

We’re hoping for the ideal start for our same game multi, and that would be Curnow to kick the first goal.

He is always a threat to score early in the game as he can fatigue in the second half. We saw that against the Western Bulldogs last month, where he barely got into the game in the second half, but he likes to kick them early.

$9.50 for Curnow to kick the opening goal is worth taking as a value bet.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.