We have Carlton vs. Brisbane predictions for action on Thursday July 10 at 7:30pm at Marvel Stadium.
Round 18 kicks off with Carlton vs. Brisbane, where the Lions are firm favourites to win three games on the bounce.
Carlton vs. Brisbane Predictions
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Best Bet
Last year’s champions are back to their best form after posting wins over Geelong and Port Adelaide, which is a good form guide for playing Carlton, who are struggling after three consecutive losses.
The Blues are going through the blues with losses to North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, and Collingwood. They lost 115-59 to Collingwood last week, and posting totals of only 59, 60, and 73 points isn’t going to get it done.
Brisbane flexed its muscles with a 120-92 win over Port Adelaide last week, and playing on the road won’t worry them. The Lions have a good record when playing in Melbourne, and they should fancy themselves to cover the –26.5 spread.
It’s a fair line with AFL odds, and it could move to around –28.5 at game time.
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Same Game Multi
Our AFL same game multi includes under 168.5 points, which is because Carlton is struggling to score points. It could be a 100-60 game, which is enough for Brisbane to cover the spread and the under 168.5 points to cash.
Most of the points for Brisbane should come from Logan Morris and Charlie Cameron, who are the favourites to kick 2+ goals. Morris kicked 10 goals in a two-game span before kicking only one last week, and he’s due a big bounce back performance.
Cameron was excellent last week when kicking three goals against Port Adelaide, and when he’s playing well, he usually puts a few big games together. Punters get $1.81 for Cameron to kick 2+ goals, which is an excellent price to include in AFL same game multi picks.
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Best Value Bet
There is good value in backing Will Ashcroft 6+ tackles. Carlton could struggle to get the ball out of their own half, and that’s because of the good defence from Brisbane.
Ashcroft had a seven-tackle game earlier this year, so he’s aggressive on defence, and he could have a field day against a struggling Carlton offence.
Getting $4.90 is a value price, so include it in AFL predictions.
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