Adelaide vs. GWS Predictions

Adelaide vs GWS headlines Saturday April 9 action at 4:15, in what should be a great afternoon game at Adelaide Oval.

It’s one of the most anticipated games in AFL Round 6, where Adelaide is the slight favourite at $1.82.

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Best Bet

Under 186.5 @ $1.90

We’ve made under 186.5 points our best bet, and it’s backed by statistics. They scored 172 points in their most recent meeting in 2024, which followed 128 points in their 2023 meeting, so they struggle to score against each other.

It’s fair to say GWS’ offence is better now, but 186.5 is a sizable line, and we see this game ending in the 94-86 range. We priced the line around 182.5 points, so punters get a value AFL line, so it’s well worth including in AFL picks.

Bookmakers have overreacted to their performances last week, but when Adelaide and GWS play, it’s often a tight defensive battle.

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Same Game Multi

Adelaide -2.5, Riley Thilthorpe 2+ Goals, Toby Greene 2+ Goals, Total Match Points Under 186.5 @ $9.75

Adelaide gets the advantage of playing at home, which is why we put it on top. The Crows were disappointing in the final quarter against Geelong last week, and they couldn’t get any forward 50 ball during the entire quarter.

However, that could change on Saturday, and they should get back to their best form against GWS. It will be a close game, but –2.5 is as short as it gets. We also think it will be a low-scoring battle, which should suit Adelaide.

Riley Thilthorpe was a casualty of how Adelaide played last week. He scored just one goal, but we’re taking the odds for him to score 2+ goals. We also like Giants forward Tony Greene to score 2+ goals, having scored five last week and 13 goals in his last four games.

Punters get $1.45 for Thilthorpe and $1.59 for Greene, and they boost same game multi odds.

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Best Value Bet

Adelaide Wire-to-Wire @ $3.05

If Adelaide gets off to a fast start again this week, it’s good enough to hold onto it. The heat got to the Crows’ players last week, and they made key mistakes in the second half to make the game closer than it should have been.

We’re picking them to start well on Saturday and lead after every quarter. Punters get $3.05 for a wire-to-wire win, and if that’s going to happen, it will be at Adelaide Oval in front of a packed house.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.